Why Teenagers Today May Grow Up Conservative

Why Teenagers Today May Grow Up Conservative

“But the temporary nature of the 1960s should serve as a reminder that politics change. What seems permanent can become fleeting. And the Democratic Party, for all its strengths among Americans under 40, has some serious vulnerabilities, too.

To Americans in their 20s and early 30s — the so-called millennials — many of these problems have their roots in George W. Bush’s presidency. But think about people who were born in 1998, the youngest eligible voters in the next presidential election. They are too young to remember much about the Bush years or the excitement surrounding the first Obama presidential campaign. They instead are coming of age with a Democratic president who often seems unable to fix the world’s problems.

‘We’re in a period in which the federal government is simply not performing,’ says Paul Taylor of the Pew Research Center, the author of a recent book on generational politics, ‘and that can’t be good for the Democrats.'”

(Thanks for the link, Sarah!)

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2 thoughts on “Why Teenagers Today May Grow Up Conservative

  1. If you read the comments section after this NYT op-ed piece, the readers astutely point out the many flaws and indefensible assumptions made by Leonhart.

    What struck me most was that he dismisses out of hand the historical trend that young voters are usually more liberal than when they age. That’s supported by more than a hundred years worth of sociology research studies!

    People who manage to grow materially richer as they get older tend strongly to become more conservative, while those who remain “have-nots” tend to retain the left-of-center views from their youth. That’s not because of culture. It’s ordinary human greed.

  2. Some of Reagan’s biggest supporters were young people. I’m not saying this is definitely going to happen (and neither is the author of the article) but it’s certainly worth considering.

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